Donna, a chartered financial analyst (CFA), is willing to invest in the Alternative Investments Market (AIM) in the United Kingdom. She collected the information on two different companies (provided below) from the London Stock Exchange. Given the probability distribution for the states of economy in the United Kingdom, which stock would you advise Donna invest in?

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STATE OF ECONOMY Recession Normal Boom ALPH BIOTECH PLC PROBABILITY 0.20 0.50 0.30 RETURN (%) 8 12 18 ASTRATECH PLC PROBABILITY 0.30 0.40 0.30 RETURN (%) -4 9 16