What is the probability that a 40-year-old woman will develop colon cancer over the next 5 years?

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What is the probability that a 40-year-old woman will develop colon cancer over the next 5 years? 


Cancer

Data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry provides incidence data for different cancers according to age and sex for various tumor registries throughout the world. The data in Table 7.13 were obtained for colon cancer in women from the Connecticut Tumor Registry from 1988−1992.

Table 7.13: Connecticut Tumor Registry data: Annual incidence rates for colon cancer from 1988−1992 for females

____________________ Annual incidence rate

Age …………………… (per 105 person-years)

40–44 ……………………………. 8

45–49 …………………………… 16

50–54 …………………………… 27

55–59 …………………………… 50

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