Consider the equation y = 0 + 1 x + 2 x 2 +

Question:

Consider the equation

y = β0 + β1x + β2x2 + u

E(u|x) = 0

where the explanatory variable x has a standard normal distribution in the population. In particular, E(x) = 0, E(x2) = Var (x) = 1, and E(x3) = 0. This last condition holds because the standard normal distribution is symmetric about zero. We want to study what we can say about the OLS estimator of β1 we omit x2 and compute the simple regression estimator of the intercept and slope.

(i) Show that we can write

y α0 + β1x + v

where E(v) 5 0. In particular, find v and the new intercept, α0.

(ii) Show that E(v|x) depends on x unless β2 = 0.

(iii) Show that Cov(x, v) = 0.

(iv) If β̂1 is the slope coefficient from regression yi on xi, is β̂consistent for β1? Is it unbiased? Explain.

(v) Argue that being able to estimate β1 has some value in the following sense: β1 is the partial effect of x on y evaluated at x 5 0, the average value of x.

(vi) Explain why being able to consistently estimate β1 and β12 is more valuable than just estimating β1.

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