An insurance company classifies drivers as low-risk if they are accident-free for one year. Past records indicate

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An insurance company classifies drivers as low-risk if they are accident-free for one year. Past records indicate that 98% of the drivers in the low-risk category (L) one year will remain in that category the next year, and 78% of the drivers who are not in the low-risk category (L′) one year will be in the low-risk category the next year.

(A) Draw a transition diagram.

(B) Find the transition matrix P.

(C) If 90% of the drivers in the community are in the low-risk category this year, what is the probability that a driver chosen at random from the community will be in the low-risk category next year? Year after next?

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Finite Mathematics For Business Economics Life Sciences And Social Sciences

ISBN: 9780134862620

14th Edition

Authors: Raymond Barnett, Michael Ziegler, Karl Byleen, Christopher Stocker

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