Vidhya Balan is planning to liquidate her investments in mutual funds and invest in real estate. Before making the change in her investment strategy, Vidhya wants to forecast the price of mutual funds for the next 2 months. She has collected the following data on the average fund prices for the past 10 months:

1. Using a five-period moving average, forecast the average fund price for period 11.

2. Using exponential smoothing with α = 0.3, forecast the average fund price for period 11. Assume an initial forecast for month 6 (F₆) as $52.15.

3. Compute the MAD to determine the more accurate of the two forecasting methods.

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Month 1 4 9. 10 Average Fund Price (in U.S. dollars) 55.10 53.80 51.50 53.40 52.95 52.15 52.75 52.65 52.25 51. 70