Question: 6. (A simplified hedging example) In the early 2000's, there was a casino boom in Macao. To compete with other players in the market, some

 6. (A simplified hedging example) In the early 2000's, there was

6. (A simplified hedging example) In the early 2000's, there was a casino boom in Macao. To compete with other players in the market, some casinos offered free lunch boxes to those customers who kept gambling over a suffi- cient amount of time, say several hours. Being two poor students (aged over 18!), Tony and Yau wanted to get some free lunch boxes without mak- ing/losing money. They reached a dice table where people were betting on the total point counts of three dice. There are two possible outcomes for each round of the game: (1)Large, which refers to a total point count of 11 to 18, and (2) Small, which refers to a total point count of 3 to 10. Both have a payoff of 1-to-1. Triples or alls (i.e. {1,1,1},..., {6,6,6}) are still counted as either Large or Small, depending on the sum. a. Assume that the chance of having a Smal is the same as that of having a Large, how would you teach Tony and Yau to bet so that their net worth can be maintained at a constant level after one round of the game? b. Suppose that you observe that the chance of having a Small is 1/3, how would you teach Tony and Yau so that they will not make/loss any money over 2-3 hours of gambling? 6. (A simplified hedging example) In the early 2000's, there was a casino boom in Macao. To compete with other players in the market, some casinos offered free lunch boxes to those customers who kept gambling over a suffi- cient amount of time, say several hours. Being two poor students (aged over 18!), Tony and Yau wanted to get some free lunch boxes without mak- ing/losing money. They reached a dice table where people were betting on the total point counts of three dice. There are two possible outcomes for each round of the game: (1)Large, which refers to a total point count of 11 to 18, and (2) Small, which refers to a total point count of 3 to 10. Both have a payoff of 1-to-1. Triples or alls (i.e. {1,1,1},..., {6,6,6}) are still counted as either Large or Small, depending on the sum. a. Assume that the chance of having a Smal is the same as that of having a Large, how would you teach Tony and Yau to bet so that their net worth can be maintained at a constant level after one round of the game? b. Suppose that you observe that the chance of having a Small is 1/3, how would you teach Tony and Yau so that they will not make/loss any money over 2-3 hours of gambling

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