Question: a . Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? b . Use the Naive model to forecast the time

.

Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?

.

Use the Naive model to forecast the time series. Provide the the forecast of the percentage of stocks in a typical portfolio for the second quarter of year

3

using the Naive model.

.

Use the Average Past Values model to forecast the time series. Provide the the forecast of the percentage of stocks in a typical portfolio for the second quarter of year

3

using the Average Past Values model.

.

Use trail and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient alpha that results in a relatively small MSE.

.

Using the exponential smoothing model you developed in part

(

),

what is the forecast of the percentage of stocks in a typical portfolio for the second quarter of year

3 ?

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