Question: A forecaster trusts both most recent data points and the middle data points three times the oldest data point in a 3-point MA method (as
A forecaster trusts both most recent data points and the middle data points three times the oldest data point in a 3-point MA method (as discussed in the class). The weights that are used for the method are:
| 0.143, 0.345, 0.345 | ||
| 0.200, 0.400, 0.400 | ||
| 0.143, 0.428, 0.428 | ||
| 0.255, 0.255, 0.555 |
The Dulac Box plant produces wooden packing boxes to be used in the local seafood industry. Current operations allow the company to make 500 boxes per day, in two 8-hour shifts (250 boxes per shift). The company has introduced some moderate changes in equipment, and conducted appropriate job training, so that production levels have risen to 350 boxes per shift. Labor costs average $15 per hour for each of the 5 full-time workers on each shift. Capital costs were previously $3,000 per day and rose to $3,200 per day with the equipment modifications. Energy costs were unchanged by the modifications, at $400 per day. What is the firm's multifactor productivity after the changes?
| 1.345 boxes per dollar | ||
| 2.109 boxes per dollar | ||
| 1.907 boxes per dollar | ||
| 0.146 boxes per dollar |
The number of pizzas ordered on Friday evenings between 5:30 and 6:30 at a pizza delivery location for the last 10 weeks is shown below. Use exponential smoothing with smoothing constants of 0.2 and 0.8 to forecast. 58, 46, 55, 39, 42, 63, 54, 55, 61, 52 What is the MSE using alpha = 0.8?
| 84.12 | ||
| 67.75 | ||
| 119.08 | ||
| 105.20 |
Which of the following forecasting methods puts the least weight on the most recent time series value?
| exponential smoothing with alpha = 0.3 | ||
| exponential smoothing with alpha = 0.2 | ||
| simple moving average using the most recent six periods | ||
| Both b and c |
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