Question: A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated
A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being and respectively.
A small facility is expected to earn an aftertax net present value of just $ if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $ If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $ and can be expanded to medium size to earn $ or to large size to earn $
A mediumsized facility is expected to lose an estimated $ if the demand is low and earn $ if demand is average. If demand is high, the mediumsized facility is expected to earn net present value of $; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $
If large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $ If demand is average for the large facility, the net present value is expected to be $; if demand is low, the facility is expected to lose $
Which alternative is best, according to each of the following decision criterion?
a Maximin
b Maximax
c Minimax regret
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