A networking service company is examining two mutually exclusive projects. The probability distributions of annual cash inflows are presented below:

Year 1 Year 2

Initial Cash Conditional Cash

Probability Flow Probability Flow

0.30 $800 0.50 $900

0.50 $700

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0.40 $500 0.25 $800

0.50 $700

0.25 $600

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0.30 $200 0.60 $200

0.40 $100

If the risk-free rate is 4% and the company's required rate of return is 10%, calculate the expected NPV for the project. What is the probability that Treasury securities would be a better investment?