Question: A PERT project is detailed in the table below. Durations are given in days. Activity Predecessors Optimistic duration Pessimistic duration Most likely duration Expectation Variance
A PERT project is detailed in the table below. Durations are given in days.
| Activity | Predecessors | Optimistic duration | Pessimistic duration | Most likely duration | Expectation | Variance |
| A | - | 23 | 29 | 27 | ||
| B | A | 46 | 58 | 54 | ||
| C | A | 22 | 28 | 26 | ||
| D | A | 30 | 42 | 38 | ||
| E | B | 23 | 29 | 27 | ||
| F | B, C | 21 | 27 | 25 | ||
| G | C, F | 45 | 63 | 57 | ||
| H | G | 23 | 29 | 27 | ||
| I | F, H | 28 | 34 | 32 | ||
| J | E, I | 33 | 39 | 37 | ||
| K | F, H, I | 24 | 30 | 28 |
- Draw an activity-on-node network representing this project.
- Give the expected duration and variance of each activity in the table.
- What is the expected duration of the project?
- What is the variance in the project's duration?
- How many days are needed for the project to be 80% likely to be completed?
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