Question: A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks. Activity Immediate Predecessor(s) Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic
A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks.
| Activity | Immediate Predecessor(s) | Optimistic Time | Most Likely Time | Pessimistic Time |
| A | -- | 5 | 11 | 14 |
| B | - | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| C | -- | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| D | A, B | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| E | B | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| F | C | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| G | D, E | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| H | F | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| I | G | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| J | H | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| K | I, J | 4 | 7 | 8 |
a) Calculate the expected duration (D), and variance of each activity.
b) Calculate ES, EF, LS, LF, S for each activity.
| Activity | ET | Variance | ES | EF | LS | LF | S |
| A | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| B | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| C | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| D | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| E | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| F | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| G | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| H | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| I | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| J | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| K | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer |
| c) Which activities form the critical path? | AnswerCFHJKADGIKBDGIKBEGIK | |
| d) What is the estimated time of the critical path? | Answer | weeks |
| e) If the project is due to be completed in 34 weeks, what is the probability that the project will be completed on the due date? | Answer | % |
| f) If the project manager wants at least a 95% probability that the project will be completed on the due date, what is the shortest project due date that will satisfy the manager? | Answer | weeks |
| g) Which activity(ies) can be delayed 10.83 weeks without impacting the expected project completion date? | AnswerB and EB and CBEA and H | |
| h) How many week(s) can you delay the activity D, without impacting the expected project completion date? |
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