Question: A project has four activities (A, B, C, and D) that must be performed sequentially. The probability distributions for the time required to complete each

A project has four activities (A, B, C, and D) that must be performed sequentially. The probability distributions for the time required to complete each of the activities are as follows:

Activity Activity Time (weeks) Probability
A 5 0.30
6 0.34
7 0.26
8 0.10
B 4 0.19
6 0.51
8 0.30
C 12 0.08
14 0.22
16 0.41
18 0.16
20 0.13
D 9 0.67
11 0.33

  1. Provide the base-case, worst-case, and best-case calculations for the time to complete the project.
    Activity Base case Worst case Best case
    A weeks weeks weeks
    B weeks weeks weeks
    C

    weeks
    weeks weeks
    D weeks weeks weeks
    Total weeks weeks weeks
  2. Use the random numbers 0.6168, 0.7203, 0.4178 and 0.4582 to simulate the completion time of the project in weeks.
    Activity Random Number Completion Time
    A 0.6168 weeks
    B 0.7203 weeks
    C 0.4178 weeks
    D 0.4582 weeks
    Total weeks

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