Question: A project has four activities (A, B, C, and D) that must be performed sequentially. The probability distributions for the time required to complete each
A project has four activities (A, B, C, and D) that must be performed sequentially. The probability distributions for the time required to complete each of the activities are as follows:
| Activity | Activity Time (weeks) | Probability | ||
| A | 5 | 0.30 | ||
| 6 | 0.34 | |||
| 7 | 0.26 | |||
| 8 | 0.10 | |||
| B | 4 | 0.19 | ||
| 6 | 0.51 | |||
| 8 | 0.30 | |||
| C | 12 | 0.08 | ||
| 14 | 0.22 | |||
| 16 | 0.41 | |||
| 18 | 0.16 | |||
| 20 | 0.13 | |||
| D | 9 | 0.67 | ||
| 11 | 0.33 | |||
- Provide the base-case, worst-case, and best-case calculations for the time to complete the project.
Activity Base case Worst case Best case A weeks weeks weeks B weeks weeks weeks C
weeksweeks weeks D weeks weeks weeks Total weeks weeks weeks - Use the random numbers 0.6168, 0.7203, 0.4178 and 0.4582 to simulate the completion time of the project in weeks.
Activity Random Number Completion Time A 0.6168 weeks B 0.7203 weeks C 0.4178 weeks D 0.4582 weeks Total weeks
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