Question: A restaurant owner is contemplating either opening another restaurant or expanding its existing location. The payoff table for these two decisions is as follows. State
A restaurant owner is contemplating either opening another restaurant or expanding its existing location. The payoff table for these two decisions is as follows.
State of Nature
Decision
s
s
s
New restaurant $ $ $
Expand $ $ $
The owner has calculated the indifference probability for the lottery having a payoff of $ with probability p and $ with probability
p
as shown in the following table.
Amount Indifference Probability p
$
$
$
a
Is the restaurant owner a risk avoider, a risk taker, or risk neutral?
a risk avoider
a risk taker
a risk neutral
b
Suppose they have defined the utility of $ to be and the utility of $ to be What would be the utility values for $ $ and $ based on the indifference probabilities?
Payoffs Utilities
$
$
$
$
$
c
Suppose
Ps
Ps
and
Ps
Which decision should the owner make? Compare with the decision using the expected value approach.
Based on the expected utility, the restaurant should
Select
Based on the expected value, the restaurant should
Select
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