Question: A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportunities exceeded the firm s capacity. The contractor must now make a
A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportunities exceeded the firms capacity. The contractor must now make a decision on capacity for next year. Estimated profits under each of the two possible states of nature are as shown in the table below. Suppose after a certain amount of discussion, the contractor is able to subjectively assess the probabilities of low and high demand as follows:
Plow and Phigh
Alternative Next years demand is LOW Next years demand is High
Do nothing $ $
Expand $ $
Subcontract $ $
Determine the expected profit of Expand. pt
Which alternative is best? pt
Compute the expected value of perfect information. points
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