Question: Activity Predecessor Optimistic (a) Most likely (m) Pessimistic (b) 1 - 16 19 28 2 -- 30 30 30 3 - 60 72 90 4
| Activity | Predecessor | Optimistic (a) | Most likely (m) | Pessimistic (b) |
| 1 | - | 16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | -- | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 3 | - | 60 | 72 | 90 |
| 4 | - | 18 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | 1 | 17 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | 6,7 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
| 9 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 30 |
| 10 | 3 | 20 | 35 | 50 |
| 11 | 4 | 40 | 55 | 100 |
| 12 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 29 |
| 13 | 11 | 14 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | 9,12 | 13 | 16 | 19 |
What is the probability of completing the critical path of the project by day 112? Between 100 and 110 days? (Please show in excel)
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