Question: Consider the following project Activity Optimistic (a) Pessimistic (b) Most Likely (m) Predecessors A 1 3 2 - B 2 4 3 - C 4

Consider the following project

Activity Optimistic (a) Pessimistic (b) Most Likely (m) Predecessors
A 1 3 2 -
B 2 4 3 -
C 4 6 5 A
D 8 10 9 B
E 2 8 5 C,D
F 4 6 5 D
G 1 3 2 E

Hint: use the most likely time as your activity durations

Question: what is the probability that the project will finish on or before 20 week?

Instructions: show all your calculations, activity times are in weeks

Note: this question is coming from Project Management "A Multi-Disciplinary Approch

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