Question: Forecasting and Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are the income statement and balance sheet for Intel Corporation. INTEL CORPORATION Consolidated Statements of

Forecasting and Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are the income statement and balance sheet for Intel Corporation.

INTEL CORPORATION Consolidated Statements of Income
Years Ended December (In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) 2012 2011 2010
Net revenue $ 53,341 $ 53,999 $ 46,623
Cost of sales 20,190 20,242 15,132
Gross margin 33,151 33,757 28,491
Research and development 10,148 8,350 6,576
Marketing, general and adminstrative 8,057 7,670 6,309
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 308 260 18
Operating expenses 18,513 16,280 12,903
Operating income 14,638 17,477 15,588
Gains (losses) on other equity investments, net 141 112 348
Interest and other, net 94 192 109
Income before taxes 14,873 17,781 16,045
Provisions for taxes 3,868 4,839 4,581
Net income $ 11,005 $ 12,942 $ 11,464

INTEL CORPORATION Consolidated Balance Sheets
As of Year-Ended (In millions, except par value) Dec. 29, 2012 Dec. 31, 2011
Assets
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents $ 8,478 $ 5,065
Short-term investments 3,999 5,181
Trading assets 5,685 4,591
Accounts receivables, net 3,833 3,650
Inventories 4,734 4,096
Deferred tax assets 2,117 1,700
Other current assets 2,512 1,589
Total current assets 31,358 25,872
Property, plant and equipment, net 27,983 23,627
Marketable equity securities 4,424 562
Other long-term investments** 493 889
Goodwill 9,710 9,254
Identified intangible assets 6,235 6,267
Other long-term assets 4,148 4,648
Total assets $84,351 $71,119
Liabilities
Currnet liabilities
Short-term debt $312 $247
Accounts payable 3,023 2,956
Accrued compensation and benefits 2,972 2,948
Accrued advertising 1,015 1,134
Deferred income 1,932 1,929
Other accrued liabilities 3,644 2,814
Total current liabilities 12,898 12,028
Long-term debt 13,136 7,084
Long-term deferred tax liabilities 3,412 2,617
Other long-term liabilities 3,702 3,479
Stockholders' equity
Preferred stock, $0.001 par value, 50 shares authorized; none issued -- --
Common stock, $0.001 par value, 10,000 shares authorized; 4,944 issued and outstanding (5,000 issued and outstanding in 2011) and capital in excess of par value 19,464 17,036
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

(399)

(781)
Retained earnings 32,138 29,656
Total stockholders' equity 51,203 45,911
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity $ 84,351 $ 71,119

** These investments are operating assets as they relate to associated companies. (a) Compute Intel's net operating assets (NOA) for year-end 2012. 2012 NOA = $Answer (b) Compute net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) for 2012, assuming a federal and state statutory tax rate of 37%.(Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) 2012 NOPAT = $Answer (c) Forecast Intel's sales, NOPAT, and NOA for years 2013 through 2016 using the following assumptions:

Sales growth 10%
Net operating profit margin (NOPM) 20.4%
Net operating asset turnover (NOAT) at year-end 1.27

Forecast the terminal period value using a terminal period growth of: 1% and the NOPM and NOAT assumptions above.

INTC Reported Forecast Horizon Terminal
($ millions) 2012 2013 Est. 2014 Est. 2015 Est. 2016 Est. Period
Sales (rounded two decimal places) $Answer $Answer $Answer $Answer $Answer $Answer
Sales (rounded nearest whole number) Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer
NOPAT (rounded nearest whole number)* Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer
NOA (rounded nearest whole number)* Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer

* Use sales rounded to nearest whole number for this calculation.

(d) Estimate the value of a share of Intel common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of December 29, 2012; assume a discount rate (WACC) of 11%, common shares outstanding of 4,944 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(9,138) million (NNO is negative which means that Intel has net nonoperating investments). Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.

INTC Reported Forecast Horizon Terminal
($ millions) 2012 2013 Est. 2014 Est. 2015 Est. 2016 Est. Period
DCF Model
Increase in NOA (rounded to nearest whole number) Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer
Discount factor (rounded to 5 decimal places) Answer Answer Answer Answer
Present value of horizon FCFF (rounded to nearest whole number) Answer Answer Answer Answer
Cum present value of horizon FCFF $Answer (rounded to nearest whole number)
Present value of terminal FCFF Answer (rounded to nearest whole number)
Total firm value Answer (rounded to nearest whole number)
Plus negative NNO Answer (enter as negative number)
Firm equity value $Answer (rounded to nearest whole number)
Shares outstanding (millions) Answer (rounded to nearest whole number)
Stock price per share $Answer (rounded to two decimal places)

(e) Intel (INTC) stock closed at $21.09 on February 19, 2013, the date the Form 10-K was filed with the SEC. How does your valuation estimate compare with this closing price? What do you believe are some reasons for the difference? What investment decision is suggested from your results? (Select all that apply) Answeryesno Our stock price estimate is higher than the INTC market price as of February 19, 2013, indicating that we believe the stock is undervalued. Answeryesno Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Answernoyes Our lower stock price estimate may be due to more pessimistic forecasts or a higher discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts model assumptions. Answernoyes Our higher stock price estimate may be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts model assumptions.

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