Question: From page 3 9 3 , Analytics in Practice The East Carolina University ( ECU ) Student Health Service ( SHS ) provides health care

From page 393, "Analytics in Practice"
The East Carolina University (ECU) Student Health Service (SHS) provides health care services and wellness education to enrolled students. Patient volume consists almost entirely of scheduled appointments for non-urgent health care needs. In a recent academic year, 35,050 appointments were scheduled. Patients failed to arrive for over 10% of these appointments. The no-show problem is not unique. Various studies report that no-show rates for health service providers often range as high as 30% to 50%.
To address this problem, a quality-improvement (QI) team was formed to analyze an overbooking option. Their efforts results in developing a novel overbooking model that included the effects of employee burnout resulting from the need to see more patients than the normal capacity allowed. The model provided strong evidence that a 10% to 15% overbooking level produces the highest value. The overbooking model was also instrumental in alleviating staff concerns about disruption and pressures that result from large numbers of over scheduled patients. At a 5% overbooking rate, the staff was reassured by model results that predicted 95% of the operating dates with no patients being over scheduled; in the worst case, eight patients would be over scheduled a few days each month. In addition, at a 10% overbooking rate, the model predicted that during 85% of the operating dates per month, no patients would be over scheduled; a maximum of 16 over scheduled patients would rarely occur.
Based on the model, the SHS implemented an overbooking policy and overbooked by 7.3% with plans to increase to 10% in future semesters. The SHS director estimated that the savings from overbooking during the first semester of implementation would be approximately $95,000.

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