Question: Given market is correct in aggregate and a strong tendency toward mean reversion in financial market, what is the most appropriate way to estimate equity

Given market is correct in aggregate and a strong tendency toward mean reversion in
financial market, what is the most appropriate way to estimate equity risk premium?
Last year's equity risk premium
Average implied equity premium over long periods
Last year's implied equity premium
Average of historical risk premium over long periods
 Given market is correct in aggregate and a strong tendency toward

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