Question: hello, I tried this problem but seem to have a mixed result, can someone assist? I did my calculations in excel Problem: Starbucks has a

hello, I tried this problem but seem to have a mixed result, can someone assist? I did my calculations in excel

Problem: Starbucks has a large, global supply chain that must efficiently supply over 17,000 stores. Although the stores might appear to be very similar, they are actually very different. Depending on the location of the store, its size, and the profile of the customers served, Starbucks management configures the store offerings to take maximum advantage of the space available and customer preferences.

Starbucks actual distribution system is much more complex, but for the purpose of our exercise lets focus on a single item that is currently distributed through five distribution centers in the United States. Our item is a logo-branded coffeemaker that is sold at some of the larger retail stores. The coffeemaker has been a steady seller over the years due to its reliability and rugged construction. Starbucks does not consider this a seasonal product, but there is some variability in demand. Demand for the product over the past 13 weeks is shown in the following table. (week 1 is the week before week 1 in the table, 2 is two weeks before week 1, etc.).

Management would like you to experiment with some forecasting models to determine what should be used in a new system to be implemented. The new system is programmed to use one of two forecasting models: simple moving average or exponential smoothing.

WEEK

5

4

3

2

1

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

Atlanta

35

34

33

58

32

32

46

35

33

54

30

20

58

46

35

26

57

42

Boston

58

29

49

45

33

34

33

45

42

46

49

55

21

64

45

33

43

53

Chicago

53

24

62

40

40

45

33

26

50

47

65

65

30

25

95

34

44

48

Dallas

36

30

34

55

40

28

28

35

38

47

60

68

62

45

40

35

46

43

LA

42

42

46

38

36

36

42

44

46

46

66

42

35

39

42

45

50

50

Total

224

159

224

236

181

175

182

185

209

240

270

250

206

219

257

173

240

236

a. Consider using a simple moving average model. Experiment with models using five weeks and three weeks past data. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)

hello, I tried this problem but seem to have a

5 week

hello, I tried this problem but seem to have a

hello, I tried this problem but seem to have a

3-week MA X Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Week ATL BOS CHI DAL LA Total 1 41.00 42.33 47.33 43.00 40.00 213.67 2 40.67 37.33 41.67 41.00 36.67 197.33 3 36.67 33.33 39.33 32.00 38.00 179.33 4 37.67 37.33 34.67 30.33 40.67 180.67 5 38.00 40.00 36.33 33.67 44.00 192.00 6 40.67 44.33 41.00 40.00 45.33 211.33 7 39.00 45.67 54.00 51.33 X 52.67 242.67 X 8 34.67 50.00 59.00 61.33 X 51.33 256.33 X 9 36.00 41.67 53.33 66.33 X 47.67 245.00 X 10 41.33 46.67 40.00 58.33 38.67 225.00 11 46.33 43.33 50.00 49.00 38.67 227.33 12 35.67 47.33 51.33 40.00 42.00 216.33 13 39.33 40.33 57.67 40.33 45.67 223.33 5-week MA X Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Week ATL BOS CHI DAL LA Total 1 38.40 42.80 43.80 40.80 x 40.80 206.60 x 2 37.80 38.00 42.20 39.20 39.60 403.40 X 3 40.20 38.80 44.00 37.00 39.60 396.40 X 4 40.60 38.00 36.80 37.20 39.20 391.40 x 01 35.60 37.40 38.80 33.80 40.80 378.20 6 40.00 40.00 40.20 35.20 42.80 384.60 X 7 39.60 43.00 44.20 43.40 X 48.80 417.20 X 8 34.40 47.40 50.60 51.40 x 48.80 451.60 X 9 39.00 42.60 51.40 56.80 x 47.00 469.40 X 10 41.60 47.00 46.40 58.20 45.60 475.60 x 11 37.80 46.80 56.00 56.80 x 44.80 481.00 X 12 37.00 43.60 49.80 50.00 40.60 463.20 X 13 44.40 41.20 45.60 45.60 42.20 440.00 X b. Evaluate the forecasts that would have been made over the 13 weeks using the overall (at the end of the 13 weeks) mean absolute deviation, mean absolute percent error, and tracking signal as criteria. (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round all answers to 2 decimal places. Enter "MAPE" answers as a percentage rounded to 2 decimal places.) X Answer is complete but not entirely correct. ATL BOS CHI DAL LA Avg of DCs 11.87 3-week MA MAD 11.56 9.95 17.74 12.36 X 7.77 MAPE 0.29 0.23 x 0.38 X 0.28 x 0.17 X 0.27 x TS 0.60 1.34 0.08 2.79 (0.22) 12.88 5-week MA MAD 10.23 9.97 17.01 7.42 11.50 MAPE 0.26 x 0.23 X 0.36 0.29 x 0.17 X 0.26 x TS (3.32) X 1.64 1.01 (0.11) 3.02

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