Question: Please solve the question with steps, thank you!(It is about Bayesian Data Analysis) Problem 1 [ll] marks] How many ambulance vehicles are there in Canberra?

Please solve the question with steps, thank you!(It is about Bayesian Data Analysis)

Please solve the question with steps, thank you!(It is about Bayesian Data

Problem 1 [ll] marks] How many ambulance vehicles are there in Canberra? lSuppose I lmow there cannot be more than fill ambulance vehicles in Canberra. Whilst driving around last week I observed six ambulances numbered 131 14, 21. 26, 37' and 38. So the sample size is n = 6. I assume that ambulances in Canberra are numbered from 1 to N, and that I am equally likely to observe any numbered ambulance at any time. I also assun'le observations are independent. To solve this problem, suppose one takes independent observations yl , ..., y\" from a discrete 1miform distribution on the set {1. 2, .-., N}, where the upper bound N is unknown. Suppose one places a uniform discrete prior for N on the values 1, ...,B, where B is known. (a) [3 marks] Derive the posterior distribution of N up to a proportionality constant. Be sure to specify the bounds on the parameter space of N in your posterior distribution. (b) [3 marks] Compute posterior probabilities of N over a grid of values. [c] [2 marks] Compute the posterior mean and posterior standard deviation of N. (d) [2 marks] Find the posterior probability that there are more than 51] ambulance vehicles in Canberra

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