Q. 1. a. Draw an AON network using the following data and find the probability of completing the path with the longest expected duration in 44 days, the official opening date. [10 Points]

• a = optimistic time estimate
• b = pessimistic time estimate
• m = most likely time estimate, the mode

Time (days)ActivityPredecessoramb161014210123116203042357542346371013741238702493,72221092341180121210,11123

b. Simulate using Crystal Ball to find the probabilities of project completion. Use a BetaPERT distribution for defining activity time distributions. After a 1,000-trial simulation, examine the statistical information generated and compare the output of the simulation with your findings in section a. Briefly explain the significant similarities and differences. [10 Points]