Question: Question 39 10 points Save Answer Using a Delphi approach to forecasting the development trajectory of a radically new emerging technology, we find that the

Question 39 10 points Save Answer Using a Delphi

Question 39 10 points Save Answer Using a Delphi approach to forecasting the development trajectory of a radically new emerging technology, we find that the 4 experts we consulted are unable to reach a consensus and their forecasts differ significantly - even after 10 iterations. What should we best do- from among the following options? Ignore the expert divergent opinions, and use our own internal R&D and sales people to develop a forecast. Continue with the Delphi process until the 4 experts arrive at some degree of consensus Develop an average of the four final forecasts and treat that as our initial forecast for decision making Develop a weighted average of the four final forecasts, weighting each expert's forecast differently considering their experience in that area, research reputation, and other relevant differentiators

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