Question: Question II: Credit Scoring ( 2 0 points ) You decide that the most important factors in determining the probability of default for a potential

Question II: Credit Scoring (20 points) You decide that the most important factors in determining the probability of default for a potential borrower are its Deb(t)/(E)quity Ratio, Profit Margin, Current Ratio, and Pric(e)/(B)ook Ratio. Using this you estimate the following linear probability model of default: PD_(i)=.75+.25((D)/(E))+2( Profit Margin )+.15( Current Ratio )-.3((P)/(B)) a. Calculate the probability of default using the estimated model, given a company with the following characteristics (7 points): Liabilities =250 M 50 M Current Liabilities Long-term debt =200M Assets =400M 100 M current assets Profit Margin =5.75% EBIT of $17 Million Sales of $132 Million The borrower's stock trades at $15 per share, and there are 13,333,333 shares outstanding. Retained earnings of $5 Million b. Calculate the non-linear estimate of the borrower's probability of default. (5 points) c. Given the same firm, calculate Altman's Z.(5 points) d. Should the bank lend to this borrower? Why or why not? (3 points)
Question II: Credit Scoring ( 2 0 points ) You

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