Abbey Trading Company is considering a risky project. An initial investment of 90,000 will be followed by
Question:
Abbey Trading Company is considering a risky project. An initial investment of £90,000 will be followed by three years each with the following ‘most likely’ cash flows (there is no inflation or tax):
£ | £ | |
Annual sales (volume of 100,000 units multiplied by estimated sales price of £2) | 200,000 | |
Annual costs | ||
Labour | 100,000 | |
Material | 40,000 | |
Other | 10,000 150,000 |
(150,000) |
50,000 |
The initial investment consists of £70,000 in machines, which have a zero scrap value at the end of the three-year life of the project and £20,000 in additional working capital which is recoverable at the end. The discount rate is 10%.
Required:
(1) Calculate the most-likely NPV of the project and explain what it means.
(2) Conduct a sensitivity analysis on the following four variables and explain which one of them is the most significant in affecting the profitability of the project (assuming all other variables remain constant). Show all relevant calculations and use a table to summarise the findings.
- sales price;
- labour costs;
- material costs;
- sales volume