Question: Suppose the user's preferred forecasting method is exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of a . How much will the forecast for the current period

Suppose the user's preferred forecasting method is exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of a. How much will the forecast for the current period change if the user makes a correction to increase the demand that occurred 3 periods ago by x units?
No change
a(1-a)^3
a (1-a)^2
a (1- a)^4

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