Question: The Check Engine light on your car has turned on. Without the information from the light, you believe that there is a 10% chance that

 The Check Engine light on your car has turned on. Without

The Check Engine light on your car has turned on. Without the information from the light, you believe that there is a 10% chance that your car has a serious engine problem. You learn that if the car has such a problem, the light will come on with probability 0.99, but if the car does not have a serious problem, the light will still come on, under circumstances similar to yours, with probability 0.3. Find the probability that you have a serious engine problem, given that the Check Engine light has turned on

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