Question: This is an example to help solve the real question below You are a manager at Northern Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in

This is an example to help solve the real question below

You are a manager at Northern Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in synthetic fibre manufacturing. Your boss comes into your office, drops a consultant's report on your desk, and complains, "We owe these consultants

$2.1

million for this report, and I am not sure their analysis makes sense. Before we spend the

$31

million on new equipment needed for this project, look it over and give me your opinion." You open the report and find the following estimates (in millions of dollars):

1

2

. . .

9

10

Sales revenue

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

Cost

of goods sold

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

=Gross

profit

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

General,

sales, and administrative expenses

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

Depreciation

3.100

3.100

3.100

3.100

=Net

operating income

8.8200

8.8200

8.8200

8.8200

Income

tax

3.087

3.087

3.087

3.087

=Net

income

5.733

5.733

5.733

5.733

All of the estimates in the report seem correct. You note that the consultants used straight-line depreciation for the new equipment that will be purchased today (year 0), which is what the accounting department recommended for financial reporting purposes. CRA allows a CCA rate of

46%

on the equipment for tax purposes. The report concludes that because the project will increase earnings by

$5.733

million per year for ten years, the project is worth

$57.33

million. You think back to your glory days in finance class and realize there is more work to be done!

First you note that the consultants have not factored in the fact that the project will require

$16

million in working capital up front (year 0), which will be fully recovered in year 10. Next you see they have attributed

$2.48

million of selling, general and administrative expenses to the project, but you know that

$1.24

million of this amount is overhead that will be incurred even if the project is not accepted. Finally, you know that accounting earnings are not the right thing to focus on!

b. If the cost of capital for this project is

17%,

what is your estimate of the value of the new project?

There are two ways to solve for the

NPVby

either indirectly computing the FCF excluding the CCA tax shields and then adding the present value of all the CCA tax savings to it OR by directly computing the present value of the free cash flows from years 1 to 10 and then adding the present value of the remaining CCA tax shields from time 11 in perpetuity. We will use the first method.

Indirectly compute the free cash flow excluding CCA tax shields by using the following equation:

FreeCashFlowexcludingCCATS=(RevenuesCosts)1cCapExNWC

where CCATS is the present value of the CCA tax shields from time 0 to

,

c

is the corporate tax rate, CapEx is the capital expenditure, and

NWC

is the change in net working capital.

The present value of the free cash flows (excluding CCA tax shields) for each of years 0 to 10 are (in millions of dollars):

Year

Free Cash Flow

(FCF)

($000,000s)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Sales Revenue

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

36.000

Cost

of Goods Sold

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

21.600

=Gross

Profit

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

14.400

General,

Selling and Admin Exp.

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

2.480

CCA

(analyze separately)

=Net

operating income

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

11.920

Income

Tax

(at35%)

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

4.17

=Net

Income

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

7.75

+Overhead

(after tax at

35%)

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

0.806

+CCA

(analyze separately)

CapEx

31.000

Inc.

in NWC

16.000

16.000

Free Cash Flow (excluding CCA tax shields)

47.000

8.556

8.556

8.556

8.556

8.556

8.556

8.556

8.556

8.556

24.556

Discount factor (at

17%)

1.000

0.8547

0.7305

0.6244

0.5337

0.4561

0.3898

0.3332

0.2848

0.2434

0.2080

Free Cash Flow (excluding CCAtax

shields)

Discount factor

47.000

7.313

6.250

5.342

4.566

3.902

3.335

2.851

2.437

2.083

5.108

The PV of the free cash flows (excluding CCA tax shields) in millions:

$47.000+$7.313+$6.250+$5.342+$4.566+$3.902+$3.335+$2.851+$2.437+$2.083+$5.108=$3.813million

The present value of the CCA tax shields can be found using the equation shown below, where CapEx is the capital expenditure, d is the CCA rate, r is the cost of capital, and

c

is the corporate tax rate.

PVCCAtaxshields=CapExdcr+d1+r2(1+r)

The present value of the CCA tax shields are found as:

$31million0.460.350.17+0.461+0.172(1+0.17)=$7.347million

The NPV equals the sum of the present value of the

free

cash flows (excluding CCA tax shields) and present value of the CCA tax shields:

NPV=$3.813million+$7.347million=$3.534million

b. If the cost of capital for this project is

17%,

what is your estimate of the value of the new project?

Value of project is

$3.534

million.

Since the project's NPV is positive, it should be accepted.

This is the real question needed to be solve below

You are a manager at Northern Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in synthetic fibre manufacturing. Your boss comes into your office, drops a consultant's report on your desk, and complains, "We owe these consultants

$1.5

million for this report, and I am not sure their analysis makes sense. Before we spend the

$23

million on new equipment needed for this project, look it over and give me your opinion." You open the report and find the following estimates (in millions of dollars):

1

2

. . .

9

10

Sales revenue

27.000

27.000

27.000

27.000

Cost

of goods sold

16.200

16.200

16.200

16.200

=Gross

profit

10.800

10.800

10.800

10.800

General,

sales, and administrative expenses

1.840

1.840

1.840

1.840

Depreciation

2.300

2.300

2.300

2.300

=Net

operating income

6.6600

6.6600

6.6600

6.6600

Income

tax

2.331

2.331

2.331

2.331

=Net

income

4.329

4.329

4.329

4.329

All of the estimates in the report seem correct. You note that the consultants used straight-line depreciation for the new equipment that will be purchased today (year 0), which is what the accounting department recommended for financial reporting purposes. CRA allows a CCA rate of

30%

on the equipment for tax purposes. The report concludes that because the project will increase earnings by

$4.329

million per year for ten years, the project is worth

$43.29

million. You think back to your glory days in finance class and realize there is more work to be done!

First you note that the consultants have not factored in the fact that the project will require

$7

million in working capital up front (year 0), which will be fully recovered in year 10. Next you see they have attributed

$1.84

million of selling, general and administrative expenses to the project, but you know that

$0.92

million of this amount is overhead that will be incurred even if the project is not accepted. Finally, you know that accounting earnings are not the right thing to focus on!

b. If the cost of capital for this project is

15%,

what is your estimate of the value of the new project?

b. If the cost of capital for this project is

15%,

what is your estimate of the value of the new project?

Value of

project=

million(Round to three decimal places.)

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