Question: This is an example to help solve the real question below You are a manager at Northern Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in
This is an example to help solve the real question below
You are a manager at Northern Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in synthetic fibre manufacturing. Your boss comes into your office, drops a consultant's report on your desk, and complains, "We owe these consultants
$2.1
million for this report, and I am not sure their analysis makes sense. Before we spend the
$31
million on new equipment needed for this project, look it over and give me your opinion." You open the report and find the following estimates (in millions of dollars):
| 1 | 2 | . . . | 9 | 10 | |
| Sales revenue | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | |
| Cost of goods sold | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | |
| =Gross profit | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | |
| General, sales, and administrative expenses | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | |
| Depreciation | 3.100 | 3.100 | 3.100 | 3.100 | |
| =Net operating income | 8.8200 | 8.8200 | 8.8200 | 8.8200 | |
| Income tax | 3.087 | 3.087 | 3.087 | 3.087 | |
| =Net income | 5.733 | 5.733 | 5.733 | 5.733 |
All of the estimates in the report seem correct. You note that the consultants used straight-line depreciation for the new equipment that will be purchased today (year 0), which is what the accounting department recommended for financial reporting purposes. CRA allows a CCA rate of
46%
on the equipment for tax purposes. The report concludes that because the project will increase earnings by
$5.733
million per year for ten years, the project is worth
$57.33
million. You think back to your glory days in finance class and realize there is more work to be done!
First you note that the consultants have not factored in the fact that the project will require
$16
million in working capital up front (year 0), which will be fully recovered in year 10. Next you see they have attributed
$2.48
million of selling, general and administrative expenses to the project, but you know that
$1.24
million of this amount is overhead that will be incurred even if the project is not accepted. Finally, you know that accounting earnings are not the right thing to focus on!
b. If the cost of capital for this project is
17%,
what is your estimate of the value of the new project?
There are two ways to solve for the
NPVby
either indirectly computing the FCF excluding the CCA tax shields and then adding the present value of all the CCA tax savings to it OR by directly computing the present value of the free cash flows from years 1 to 10 and then adding the present value of the remaining CCA tax shields from time 11 in perpetuity. We will use the first method.
Indirectly compute the free cash flow excluding CCA tax shields by using the following equation:
FreeCashFlowexcludingCCATS=(RevenuesCosts)1cCapExNWC
where CCATS is the present value of the CCA tax shields from time 0 to
,
c
is the corporate tax rate, CapEx is the capital expenditure, and
NWC
is the change in net working capital.
The present value of the free cash flows (excluding CCA tax shields) for each of years 0 to 10 are (in millions of dollars):
| Year | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) ($000,000s) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Sales Revenue | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | 36.000 | |
| Cost of Goods Sold | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | 21.600 | |
| =Gross Profit | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | 14.400 | |
| General, Selling and Admin Exp. | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | 2.480 | |
| CCA (analyze separately) | |||||||||||
| =Net operating income | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | 11.920 | |
| Income Tax (at35%) | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | 4.17 | |
| =Net Income | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | 7.75 | |
| +Overhead (after tax at 35%) | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.806 | |
| +CCA (analyze separately) | |||||||||||
| CapEx | 31.000 | ||||||||||
| Inc. in NWC | 16.000 | 16.000 | |||||||||
| Free Cash Flow (excluding CCA tax shields) | 47.000 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 8.556 | 24.556 |
| Discount factor (at 17%) | 1.000 | 0.8547 | 0.7305 | 0.6244 | 0.5337 | 0.4561 | 0.3898 | 0.3332 | 0.2848 | 0.2434 | 0.2080 |
| Free Cash Flow (excluding CCAtax shields) Discount factor | 47.000 | 7.313 | 6.250 | 5.342 | 4.566 | 3.902 | 3.335 | 2.851 | 2.437 | 2.083 | 5.108 |
The PV of the free cash flows (excluding CCA tax shields) in millions:
$47.000+$7.313+$6.250+$5.342+$4.566+$3.902+$3.335+$2.851+$2.437+$2.083+$5.108=$3.813million
The present value of the CCA tax shields can be found using the equation shown below, where CapEx is the capital expenditure, d is the CCA rate, r is the cost of capital, and
c
is the corporate tax rate.
PVCCAtaxshields=CapExdcr+d1+r2(1+r)
The present value of the CCA tax shields are found as:
$31million0.460.350.17+0.461+0.172(1+0.17)=$7.347million
The NPV equals the sum of the present value of the
free
cash flows (excluding CCA tax shields) and present value of the CCA tax shields:
NPV=$3.813million+$7.347million=$3.534million
b. If the cost of capital for this project is
17%,
what is your estimate of the value of the new project?
Value of project is
$3.534
million.
Since the project's NPV is positive, it should be accepted.
This is the real question needed to be solve below
You are a manager at Northern Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in synthetic fibre manufacturing. Your boss comes into your office, drops a consultant's report on your desk, and complains, "We owe these consultants
$1.5
million for this report, and I am not sure their analysis makes sense. Before we spend the
$23
million on new equipment needed for this project, look it over and give me your opinion." You open the report and find the following estimates (in millions of dollars):
| 1 | 2 | . . . | 9 | 10 | |
| Sales revenue | 27.000 | 27.000 | 27.000 | 27.000 | |
| Cost of goods sold | 16.200 | 16.200 | 16.200 | 16.200 | |
| =Gross profit | 10.800 | 10.800 | 10.800 | 10.800 | |
| General, sales, and administrative expenses | 1.840 | 1.840 | 1.840 | 1.840 | |
| Depreciation | 2.300 | 2.300 | 2.300 | 2.300 | |
| =Net operating income | 6.6600 | 6.6600 | 6.6600 | 6.6600 | |
| Income tax | 2.331 | 2.331 | 2.331 | 2.331 | |
| =Net income | 4.329 | 4.329 | 4.329 | 4.329 |
All of the estimates in the report seem correct. You note that the consultants used straight-line depreciation for the new equipment that will be purchased today (year 0), which is what the accounting department recommended for financial reporting purposes. CRA allows a CCA rate of
30%
on the equipment for tax purposes. The report concludes that because the project will increase earnings by
$4.329
million per year for ten years, the project is worth
$43.29
million. You think back to your glory days in finance class and realize there is more work to be done!
First you note that the consultants have not factored in the fact that the project will require
$7
million in working capital up front (year 0), which will be fully recovered in year 10. Next you see they have attributed
$1.84
million of selling, general and administrative expenses to the project, but you know that
$0.92
million of this amount is overhead that will be incurred even if the project is not accepted. Finally, you know that accounting earnings are not the right thing to focus on!
b. If the cost of capital for this project is
15%,
what is your estimate of the value of the new project?
b. If the cost of capital for this project is
15%,
what is your estimate of the value of the new project?
Value of
project=
million(Round to three decimal places.)
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