Question: Three Time Estimates Activity Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic Time A: Concept Development 3 12 24 Plan Definition B: Define Project scope 1 2

Three Time Estimates

Activity Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic Time
A: Concept Development 3 12 24
Plan Definition
B: Define Project scope 1 2 12
C: Develop broad schedule 0.25 0.5 1
D: Detailed cost estimates 0.2 0.3 0.5
E: Develop staffing plan 0.2 0.3 0.6
Design and Construction
F: Detailed engineering 2 3 6
G: Facility construction 8 12 24
H: Mobilitization of employees 0.5 2 4
I: Procurement of equipment 1 3 12
Start Up and Turnover
J: Pre-Start- up inspection 0.25 0.5 1
K: Recruiting and training 0.25 0.5 1
L: Solving start-up problems 0 1 2
M: Centerlining 0 1 4

Three Cost Rate Estimates:

Activity Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic Time
A: Concept Development 1,900 2,000 2,300
Plan Definition
B: Define Project scope 23,750 25,000 28,750
C: Develop broad schedule 15,200 16,000 18,400
D: Detailed cost estimates 28,500 30,000 34,500
E: Develop staffing plan 27,000 30,000 33,000
Design and Construction
F: Detailed engineering 360,000 400,000 440,000
G: Facility construction 112,500 125,000 156,250
H: Mobilitization of employees 270,000 300,000 330,000
I: Procurement of equipment 360,000 400,000 440,000
Start Up and Turnover
J: Pre-Start- up inspection 90,000 100,000 110,000
K: Recruiting and training 540,000 600,000 660,000
L: Solving start-up problems 90,000 100,000 110,000
M: Centerlining 45,000 50,000 55,000

Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the project completion time and the project costs.

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