Question: Three Time Estimates Activity Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic Time A: Concept Development 3 12 24 Plan Definition B: Define Project scope 1 2
Three Time Estimates
| Activity | Optimistic Time | Most Likely Time | Pessimistic Time |
| A: Concept Development | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| Plan Definition | |||
| B: Define Project scope | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| C: Develop broad schedule | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1 |
| D: Detailed cost estimates | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| E: Develop staffing plan | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Design and Construction | |||
| F: Detailed engineering | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| G: Facility construction | 8 | 12 | 24 |
| H: Mobilitization of employees | 0.5 | 2 | 4 |
| I: Procurement of equipment | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| Start Up and Turnover | |||
| J: Pre-Start- up inspection | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1 |
| K: Recruiting and training | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1 |
| L: Solving start-up problems | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| M: Centerlining | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Three Cost Rate Estimates:
| Activity | Optimistic Time | Most Likely Time | Pessimistic Time |
| A: Concept Development | 1,900 | 2,000 | 2,300 |
| Plan Definition | |||
| B: Define Project scope | 23,750 | 25,000 | 28,750 |
| C: Develop broad schedule | 15,200 | 16,000 | 18,400 |
| D: Detailed cost estimates | 28,500 | 30,000 | 34,500 |
| E: Develop staffing plan | 27,000 | 30,000 | 33,000 |
| Design and Construction | |||
| F: Detailed engineering | 360,000 | 400,000 | 440,000 |
| G: Facility construction | 112,500 | 125,000 | 156,250 |
| H: Mobilitization of employees | 270,000 | 300,000 | 330,000 |
| I: Procurement of equipment | 360,000 | 400,000 | 440,000 |
| Start Up and Turnover | |||
| J: Pre-Start- up inspection | 90,000 | 100,000 | 110,000 |
| K: Recruiting and training | 540,000 | 600,000 | 660,000 |
| L: Solving start-up problems | 90,000 | 100,000 | 110,000 |
| M: Centerlining | 45,000 | 50,000 | 55,000 |
Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the project completion time and the project costs.
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