Question: What is the probability that this project will be completed after 110 days? Z-table is attached below this network diagram and CPM table. Hint: Probability

What is the probability that this project will be completed after 110 days? Z-table is attached below this network diagram and CPM table. Hint: Probability of project will be completed after 110 days = 1 minus (Probability that project will be completed within 110 days). A Start End B D Time estimates Expected Variance Activity Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Time (ET) (6) a m b 31 40 49 B 44 50 56 48 60 72 D 22 31 34 TABLE A 2 Cumulative normal distribution continued) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.08 5199 5120 5517 5910 .6293 .6664 $279 5675 .6064 .6113 6808 5160 .5557 5948 .6331 .6700 .7054 .7389 .7704 .7995 8264 .7157 ,7486 .7794 8078 8340 .8577 .8790 .8980 .9147 9292 0.0 5000 5040 0.1 .5398 .5438 0.2 5793 .5832 0.3 .6179 .6217 0.4 .6554 .6591 0.5 .6915 .6950 0.6 7257 .7291 0.7 .7580 .7611 0.8 .7881 .7910 0.9 .8159 .8186 1.0 8413 8438 1.1 .8643 .8665 1.2 .8849 .8869 1.3 9032 9049 1.4 .9192 9207 1.5 9332 9345 1.6 9452 9463 1.7 9554 9564 1.8 .9641 .9649 1.9 9713 .9719 2.0 .9772 .9778 2.1 9821 .9826 2.2 .9861 .9864 2.3 9893 9896 2.4 .9918 .9920 2.5 9938 9940 2.6 9953 9955 2.7 9965 9966 2.8 .9974 .9975 2.9 9981 .9982 3.0 9987 .9987 3.1 .9990 9991 3.2 .9993 .9993 3.3 9995 .9995 .9997 .9997 3.5 9998 .9998 3.6 9998 .9998 .5080 5478 5871 .6255 .6628 .6985 .7324 -7642 .7939 8212 .8461 8686 8888 9066 9222 .9357 .9474 .9573 .9656 .9726 9783 .9830 9868 9898 9922 .9941 9956 9967 9976 .9982 .9987 9991 .9994 .9995 .9997 9998 .9999 .7019 .7357 -7673 .7967 8238 8485 8708 8907 9082 9236 9370 9484 9582 .9654 .9732 9788 9834 9871 .9901 9925 9943 9957 9968 9977 9983 9988 9991 .9994 9996 9997 .9998 9999 .8508 .8729 .8925 9099 9251 9382 9495 9591 9671 9738 9793 9838 9875 9904 9927 9945 9999 9969 9977 .9984 9988 9992 .9994 9996 9997 9998 9999 .5596 5987 .6368 .6736 .7088 .7422 .7734 8023 .8289 .8531 .8749 8944 9115 9265 9394 .9505 .9599 .9678 9744 9798 9842 9878 .9906 9929 .9946 9960 19970 9978 9984 3239 5636 .6026 .6406 .6772 7123 .7454 .7764 8051 .8315 .8554 .8770 .8962 .9131 9279 9106 .9515 9608 9686 .9750 9803 .9846 9881 9909 9931 19948 .9961 .9971 9979 .9985 9989 9992 9994 9996 9997 9998 9999 .9418 9525 .9616 .9693 .9756 .9808 9850 9884 .9911 .9932 9949 9962 9972 9979 9985 9989 5319 5359 .5714 .5753 .6103 6141 .6480 .6517 .6844 .6879 .7190 .7224 .7517 .7549 .7823 .7852 .8106 .8133 .8365 .8389 8599 .8621 .8810 .8830 8997 .9015 9162 .9177 9306 .9319 9429 9441 .9535 .9545 .9625 .9633 .9699 .9706 .9761 .9767 .9812 .9817 .9854 .9857 .9887 .9890 .9913 .9916 9934 .9936 9951 9952 9963 9964 9973 9974 9980 9981 9986 .9986 9990 99%) 9993 9993 .9995 .9995 9996 .9997 .9997 .9998 9998 .9998 9999 9999 9989 9992 3.4 9992 9994 9996 9997 9998 9999 9995 9996 9997 9998 9999

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