You need to develop monthly forecasts $($in pallets$)$ for item #VMI$1984$

that seems to have an upward trend. Looking at past year's data, you

have determined that $=0\mathrm{.}25$ and $=0\mathrm{.}10.$ Your estimated level $(a^{{?}^{{?}^{?}}})$ in

January $(t=0$ is $28$ pallets$/$month and the estimate of trend $(b_0^{{?}^{{?}^{?}}})$ is $1\mathrm{.}35.$

a$)$ Using exponential smoothing, estimate a forecast for February