Question: You will use the Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES) forecasting method. Use the attached data set. Use an alpha of .5 to, find all relevant forecasts,

You will use the Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES) forecasting method. Use the attached data set. Use an alpha of .5 to, find all relevant forecasts, errors, absolute errors, squared errors. Lastly, find the MAD and MSE. Then match your answers with the ones presented here. SES.xlsx

Period At
1 15556
2 16217
3 17894
4 19139
5 17191
6 15373
7 11284
8 12092
9 14869
10 11109
11 12705
12 14680
13 11534
14 19667
15 16117
16 1843
17 15152
18 15389
19 11822
20 18639
21 13837
22 19866
23 16532
24 18267
25 17524
26 10984
27 14244
28 10819
29 17353
30

- .

Using an alpha of .5, what is the 30th period forecast?

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Using an alpha of .5, what is the MAD?

-

Using an alpha of .5, what is the MSE?

-

Now, run solver to find the best MAD. What is the resulting best MAD?

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What is the 30th period forecast after you run solver to find the best MAD?

A.

2814.52

B.

3248.24

C.

3248.24

D.

3095.93

E.

14945.76

F.

17826693.76

G.

None of these answers are correct.

H.

15392.54

I.

1404247.45

J.

3504.55

K.

18462827.62

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