Question: The developer of a new condominium complex claims that 3 out of 5 buyers will prefer a two bedroom unit, while his banker claims that

The developer of a new condominium complex claims that 3 out of 5 buyers will prefer a two bedroom unit, while his banker claims that it would be more correct to say that 7 out of 10 buyers will prefer a two-bedroom unit. In previous predictions of this type, the banker has been twice as reliable as the developer. If 12 of the next 15 condominiums sold in this complex are: two-bedroom units, Bad

(a) The posterior probabilities associated with the claims of the developer and banker:

(b) A point estimate: of the proportion of buyers who prefer a two-bedroom unit.

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