Question: (a) Plot the data on lightning deaths. (b) Describe the trend (if any) and discuss possible causes. (c) Fit an exponential trend to the data.

(a) Plot the data on lightning deaths.
(b) Describe the trend (if any) and discuss possible causes.
(c) Fit an exponential trend to the data. Interpret the fitted equation.
(d) Make a fore- cast for 2015, using a trend model of your choice (or a judgment forecast). Explain the basis for your forecast. Note: Time is in 5-year increments, so use t = 16 for your 2015 forecast.

U.S. Lightning Deaths, 1940-2010 Year Deaths Year Deaths Year Deaths Year Deaths 1940 340 1945 268 1950 219 1955 181 1960 129 1965 149 1970 22 1975 1980 74 198574 1990 74 1995 85 2000 51 2005 38 2010 29 91

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