Question: Shown on the following page is the Excel output for a regression analysis to predict the number of business bankruptcy filings over a 16-year period
Shown on the following page is the Excel output for a regression analysis to predict the number of business bankruptcy filings over a 16-year period by the number of consumer bankruptcy filings. How strong is the model? Note the residuals.
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Compute a Durbin-Watson statistic from the data and discuss the presence of auto correlation in thismodel.
SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple F R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 0.529 8179.84 ANOVA Significance df 0.0351 1 364069877.4 364069877.4 5.44 14 936737379.6 15 1300807257 Residual 66909812.8 Coefficients 75532.43621 0.01574 Standard Error 4980.08791 0.00675 t Stat Pvalue 15.17 0.0000 2.33 0.0351 Intercept Year RESIDUAL OUTPUT Predicted Bus. Bankruptcies Observation Residuals -1338.6 -8588.3 -7050.6 1115.0 12772.3 14712.8 -3029.4 -2599.1 70638.58 71024.28 71054.61 70161.99 68462.72 67733.25 66882.45 65834.05 64230.61 61801.70 61354.16 62738.76 63249.36 61767.01 57826.69 54283.80 9747.3 9288.8 10 10875.4 -9808.0 -4277.7 -256.8 13 16
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The model is Bankruptcies 75532436 0016 Year Since R 2 28 and the adjusted R 2 23 this is a weak mod... View full answer
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