The monthly time-series data for the number of people employed on a full-time basis are shown in
Question:
The monthly time-series data for the number of people employed on a full-time basis are shown in the table. Plot these data. Estimate the following forecasting models: linear trend, quadratic trend and exponential trend. Compute a forecast for the number of people employed in July 2020 with each model. Compare the three models using appropriate measures and choose the best forecasting model, giving your reasons.
Transcribed Image Text:
People employed ('000) People employed ('000) Period Period Jan. 17 7839 Oct. 17 7891 Nov. 17 Feb. 17 7938 7907 Mar. 17 7902 Dec. 17 8041 Apr. 17 7849 Jan. 18 7922 7988 May 17 7831 Feb. 18 Mar. 18 June 17 7870 7938 July 17 7907 Apr. 18 7912 7809 Aug. 17 May 18 7984 Sept. 17 7924 8014 June 18 People employed People employed ('000) ('000) Period Period July 18 7988 July 19 8024 Aug. 18 7896 Aug. 19 7926 Sept. 19 Oct. 19 Sept. 18 8135 Oct. 18 8007 Nov. 18 8042 Nov. 19 Dec. 18 8133 Dec. 19 Jan. 19 8002 Jan. 20 Feb. 19 8047 Feb. 20 Mar. 19 7967 Mar. 20 Аpг. 19 7997 Apr. 20 May 19 8010 May 20 June 19 7974 June 20
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Linear trend model SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0630661 R Square 0397734 Adjusted ...View the full answer
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Related Book For
Business Analytics And Statistics
ISBN: 9780730363330
1st Edition
Authors: Ken Black, John Asafu Adjaye, Paul Burke, Nelson Perera, Carl Sherwood, Saleh A. Wasimi
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