Question: 32 Deriving forecasts from forward rates Assume that interest rate parity exists. Today, the one-year Australian interest rate is equal to 8 per cent, while

32 Deriving forecasts from forward rates Assume that interest rate parity exists. Today, the one-year Australian interest rate is equal to 8 per cent, while China’s one-year interest rate is equal to 10 per cent.

Today the two-year annualised Australian interest rate is equal to 11 per cent, while the two-year annualised Chinese interest rate is equal to 11 per cent. Western Queensland Co. uses the forward rate to predict the future spot rate. Based on forward rates for one year ahead and two years ahead, will the Chinese yuan appreciate or depreciate from the end of year 1 until the end of year 2?

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