Question: 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) Ridership (M) 1 7 1.5 2 2 1 3 6 1.3 4

1- 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) 2- 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) 3- 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) 4-1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) 5-1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) 6- 7- 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists 8- 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M) 9- 1- 2- 3- 4- 5- 6- 7- 8- 9- Year Y Tourists (M)

Year Y Tourists (M) Ridership (M) 1 7 1.5 2 2 1 3 6 1.3 4 4 1.5 5 14 2.5 6 15 2.7 7 16 2.4 8 12 2 9 14 2.7 10 20 11 15 3.4 12 7 1.7 Find the Slope slope slope slope slope 0.17 0.14 0.16 -0.22 Year Y Tourists (M) Ridership (M) 1 7 1.5 2 2 1 3 6 1.3 4 4 VOLAN 1.5 14 2.5 6 15 2.7 7 16 2.4 8 2 12 14 9 10 11 20 15 2.7 4.4 3.4 12 7 1.7 What is the forecast for 22 04 O 3 O2 05 Year Y Tourists (M) Ridership (M) 1 7 1.5 2 2 1 6 1.3 4 1.5 14 2.5 2.7 min00OON 15 16 12 14 2.4 2. 2.7 20 4.4 15 3.4 1.7 7 What is the forecast for 13 O 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.6 Year 4 OUW Y Tourists (M) Ridership (M) 1 7 1.5 2 2 1 3 6 1.3 4 1.5 5 14 2.5 6 15 2.7 7 16 2.4 8 12 2 2. 9 14 2.7 10 20 4.4 11 15 3.4 12 1.7 7 Find the intercept intercept intercept 0.53 1.51 intercept intercept 0.56 0.51 OR Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Actual demand 10 15 22 26 32 29 33 36 46 Use an initial forecast of 9 and a trend of 0.5 with Alpha 0.20 and Beta of 0.40 Related equation Forecast including trend (FITU) - Exponentially smoothed forecast average (F). Exponentially smoothed trend (TU) What is MAD MSE MAPE? O MAD 5.6 MAPE 47.50 MSE 21 OMAD 5.6 MAPE 48 MSE 25 OMAD 7 MAPE 47 MSE 22% MAD 5.6 MAPE 47.50 MSE 229 Month 2 3 4 Actual demand 10 15 22 26 32 29 33 46 use an initial forecast of and a trend of 0.5 with Alpha -0.20 and Beta of 0.10 Related equation Forecast including trend IF Exprenta moothed forecast average syscothed trendi What is the oth 26.16 25.16 26.01 Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Actual demand 10 15 22 26 32 29 33 36 46 Use an initial forecast of 9 and a trend of 0.5 with Alpha -0.20 and Beta of 0.40 Related equation Forecast including trend (FITI) - Exponentially smoothed forecast average (Ft) + Exponentially smoothed trend (TU) What is the Forecast for month 50 54 00 5 6 38 509 50 8 50 55 What MO MADE ME or a wed 2. roth Beyourtretto MAD 22 USE 778 MD 207 31 300 31

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