Question: A company is making a spending plan to estimate future demand. You want to accurately budget for diesel fuel by using a suitable forecasting technique.
A company is making a spending plan to estimate future demand. You want to accurately budget for diesel fuel by using a suitable forecasting technique. Below is the raw data. N/A is not available. Either choose to remove or predict the N/A values when forecasting and specify your decision. Perform a forecasting analysis to predict the 12-week future forecast for diesel fuel.
Use:
a. 5-p moving average.
b. Exponential smoothing. Choose the best alpha value and explain your approach.
c. Is the linear regression between WTI and Diesel cost a good model for this exercise? What are your recommendations?
d. Research another factor (besides WTI and Diesel cost), try to find the data for this variable, and then perform a multiple linear regression to see if you can get a good model.


18.12.201725.12.201701.01.201808.01.201815.01.201822.01.201829.01.201805.02.201812.02.201819.02.201826.02.201805.03.201812.03.201819.03.201826.03.201802.04.201809.04.201816.04.201823.04.201830.04.201807.05.201814.05.201821.05.201828.05.201804.06.201811.06.201818.06.201825.06.201802.07.201809.07.201816.07.201823.07.201830.07.201806.08.201813.08.201820.08.201827.08.20180.20181091857.17N/AN/A61.73N/A63.6665.7164.1859.41N/A63.8162.4961.3562.0165.4963.0563.466.2367.6168.5670.7471.0172.26N/A64.7666.165.9169.9173.8973.9368.2267.971.1969.0167.2566.569.97N/A67.552.9012.9032.9732.9963.0283.0253.073.0863.0633.0273.0072.9922.9762.9723.013.0423.0433.1043.1333.1573.1713.2393.2773.2883.2853.2663.2443.2163.2363.2433.2393.223.2263.2233.2173.2073.2263.2523.258
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