Question: A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks. Activity Preceding Time A -- 9.5 B A 3
A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks.
| Activity | Preceding | Time |
|---|---|---|
| A | -- | 9.5 |
| B | A | 3 |
| C | A | 12 |
| D | A | 5.5 |
| E | B | 6 |
| F | B | 8 |
| G | C, F | 3 |
| H | D | 3 |
| I | H | 9 |
| J | G, I | 7 |
| K | E, J | 2.5 |
| Activity | Preceding | Optimistic Time | Probable Time | Pessimistic Time | Expected Time | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | -- | 7 | 9 | 14 | 1.361 | |
| B | A | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | |
| C | A | 8 | 12 | 16 | 0 | |
| D | A | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1.361 | |
| E | B | 4 | 6 | 8 | 0 | |
| F | B | 6 | 8 | 10 | 0 | |
| G | C, F | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| H | D | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1.000 | |
| I | H | 6 | 8 | 16 | 2.778 | |
| J | G, I | 4 | 6 | 14 | 2.778 | |
| K | E, J | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0.250 |
- Draw the network diagram.
- Calculate the ES, EF, LS, LF, and Slack for each activity.
- Which activities form the critical path?
- What is the estimated time of the critical path?
- Calculate the expected time for each activity. Enter these values in the appropriate column in the table above.
- Given the variance for each activity, what are the project variance and the standard deviation?
- What is the probability of completion of the project before week 40?
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