Question: A real estate company has built two predictive models for estimating the selling price of a house. Using a small test data set of 10

A real estate company has built two predictive models for estimating the selling price of a house. Using a small test data set of 10 observations, it tries to assess how the prediction models would perform on a new data set. The following table lists a portion of the actual prices and predicted prices generated by the two predictive models.

House Actual Price Predicted Price 1 Predicted Price 2
1 230500 254000 256000
2 209900 215500 223400
3 258900 240000 228000
4 185500 204000 219400
5 169000 157500 159400
6 350500 325800 339800
7 399900 423600 452500
8 310000 324500 305500
9 195500 180750 193750
10 328900 340000 324500

a. Compute the ME, RMSE, MAD, MPE, and MAPE for the two predictive models. (Round intermediate calculations to at least 4 decimal places and your final answers to 2 decimal places. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign.)

Model 1 Model 2
RMSE
ME
MAD
MPE % %
MAPE % %

b. Are the predictive models over- or underestimating the actual selling price on average?

The predictive models underestimate / overestimate the actual selling price.

c-1. Compare the predictive models to a base model where every house is predicted to be sold at the average price of all the houses in the training data set, which is $260,500. Compute RMSE for the base model. (Round intermediate calculations to at least 4 decimal places and your final answer to 2 decimal places.)

RMSE

c-2. Do the predictive models built by the real estate company outperform the base model in terms of RMSE?

The predictive models. outperform/ do not outperform the base model.

Which predictive model is the better-performing model?

the first / or the 2nd is the better-performing model.

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