Question: activity follows optimistic duration most likely direction pessimistic duration A - 4 6 14 B A,C 3 4 5 C - 3 5 13 D
| activity | follows | optimistic duration | most likely direction | pessimistic duration |
| A | - | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| B | A,C | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| C | - | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| D | A,E | 12 | 18 | 24 |
| E | - | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| F | A,E | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| G | B,F | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| H | G | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| I | G | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| J | D,I | 5 | 7 | 9 |
Calculate the probability of completing the project between 35 and 40 weeks? [4 pts] f Answer the project managers question: I want to tell the client that there is a 10.03% chance the project will take longer than X weeks - what figure should I give them (i.e. find X)? [4]
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