Question: Question 1: Based on what you have studied in the decision analysis theory, solve the following problem: (10 marks) State of Nature Alternatives Favorable Unfavorable
Question 1: Based on what you have studied in the decision analysis theory, solve the following problem: (10 marks)
|
| State of Nature |
|
| Alternatives | Favorable | Unfavorable |
| Construct Large firm | 400 000 | - 380 000 |
| Construct Small firm | 200 000 | - 40 000 |
| Do nothing | 0 | 0 |
| Probabilities | 0.5 | 0.5 |
From the table above solve the following questions:
- What is the maxi-max decision (Optimistic)? (1 Mark)
- What is the maxi-min decision (pessimistic)? (1 Mark)
- What is the equally likely decision? (1 Mark)
- What is the criterion of realism? Use value of 0.8(2 Marks)
- Develop an opportunity loss table and determine the mini-max regret decision.
(3 Marks)
- Determine the EMV criterion if the decision making environment is under risk. (2 marks)
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