QUESTION$-2.(5$ points total, $2$ points for partia & b$,$ and leplant surgery at Washington General Hospital has increased steadily in the past few months:

Months

Heart Transplant

$($Actual$)$

$60$

$70$

$85$

$4100$

$86$

$95$

Requirector of medical services predicted that demand in month $1$ would be $56$ surgeries

Calculate the forecast using $3-$months dealculate the Forecast wing$-$months moving weighted average nhung constant of $0\mathrm{.}55$ to

develop forecasts for months $2$ through $7.$ Calculate the MAD as the criterion, which of the two forecasting methods is best?