respond to your classmates' posts with recommendations and positive comments

Class,

I'd like to discuss some of the uncertainty and risk in managing one of the Artemis subsystems, specifically the environmental control and life support systems (ECLSS), between Artemis 1 & 2 and the Orion capsule. To summarize, the integration of this subsystem involved a lot of decision making under uncertainty; some actions were determined from imperfect results which presented an unknown outcome. The differences of the spacecraft is ART-1 was fully autonomous and unmanned, while ART-2 will be autonomous but needs to be configured for manned spaceflight. This required a re-design of the automated life support systems on a strict schedule timeline with minimal testing opportunities (ultimately managed risk). The schedule doesn't allow for much integrated ground testing and carries the uncertainty (full functionality) of mission readiness until the final stacking of the rocket and full pre-launch systems tests begin.

... Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system ... (Kochenderfer, 2015).

Risk - While there is always risk working on a large project, if not managed these risks may grow into uncertainties. Below is the top 3:

• The project schedule, milestones, and cost were predetermined (2yr window)
• Manpower. The schedule was created with a full manpower compliment--we have already lost 10% of the workforce
• Testing. Many requirements were tested previously for functionality; however, not all may be tested for ART-2 before the final stacking begins

Uncertainty - The areas that may present (threats) unknown outcomes

• Failures and/or anomalies. This will affect schedule, milestones, and cost; especially, if the rocket needs to be de-stacked
• Cost Increase. (both opportunity cost and financial cost)
• Attrition. We are currently operating at-risk, any further attrition will greatly impact schedule
• Artemis Program. Failure to meet milestones and undue costs could place the whole program in jeopardy

Outcomes

In a perfect world, the best outcome would be able to manage the project schedule/budget/manpower with a positive outcome but, we all know that is not always the case in any organization. We all must work within boundaries or constraints in managing risk while trying to balance or lessen the impact of uncertainties. I believe the predicted outcome will be an impact to project schedule due to attrition; which may impact the launch date. Ultimately, driving up costs.