This project will require field research by the student. Select an organisation of your choice and engage the relevant stakeholder of the organisation to discuss some of the business decisions that shaped the organisation to date. Select one of the business decisions that was taken and analyse it using the following questions as a guideline. Answer ALL the questions in this section.

Question 1 Business Context:

Describe the selected organisation in terms of the following: Summarise the nature of business? (5 marks) (What do they do?) 1.1

Summarise the business model? (5 marks) (How do they operate?) 1.2

What are the key business drivers? (10 marks) 1.3

(What factors influence the business?)

Question 2 Business decision

Describe the selected business decision in terms of the following:

2.1 Nature of decision describing what decision needed to be made and why? (5 marks)

2.2 Summarise how was the decision made? (5 marks)

Analyse the decision made and describe if a qualitative or quantitative approach was used and justify your response? 2.3

(5 marks) Confirm why was this approach taken by the business and appraise this approach from a Risk Modelling perspective? 2.4 (5 marks)

Question 3

Qualitative Risk Analysis

Using the selected business decision from above, identify at least 5 risks that needed to be considered to make the same? (10 marks)

Tabulate your response in a risk register shown below. Students need to delineate the required fields namely category, description, cause and effect. Students must explain the different categories of risks used. Risk identifier Category Description Cause Effect 1 2 3 4 5

3.1 Using the risk register in the previous section, conduct a qualitative risk analysis for these 5 risks by proposing the probability of occurrence and impact for each risk? (5 marks) 3.2 The risk matrix included in appendix 1 must be used to rate the identified risks and students must explain the chosen probability and impact.

The table below should be used to show your response. Risk identifier Category Description Cause Effect Probability Impact Rating 1 2 3 4 5

3.3 Using the risk matrix included in appendix 1, plot the risks on a heat map and explain what the map means? (5 marks)

Question 4 Quantitative Risk Analysis The previous question provides an insight into the risk profile that the organisation needs to consider during the decision-making process. Propose the reasons why the selected organisation would sanction a quantitative risk analysis? 4.1 (2 marks) There are two types of risk registers namely with and without aggregation. Differentiate between these two types of risk registers? 4.2 (3 marks) Using the risk register derived in question 3.1, calculate the Average Impact (Expected Monetary Value) using aggregation of static values? (10 marks) Students may use estimated values and state any assumptions during the estimation. 4.3 4.4 Summarise what does this average impact value means for the organisation? (5 marks) Question 5 Quantitative Risk Analysis Using the risk register from question 3.1, calculate the 5 possible Expected Monetary Values using the aggregation of the risk driven occurrences methodology? (10 marks) Students may use estimated values and state any assumptions during the estimation. 5.1 5.2 Describe the result of this methodology using an appropriate diagram? (5 marks) 5.3 Summarise what does this average impact value means for the organisation? (5 marks)