Question: You are a Program Manager at Anderton Consumer Electronics and responsible for the project represented in the table below. You and your team have made

You are a Program Manager at Anderton Consumer Electronics and responsible for the project represented in the table below. You and your team have made estimates for "optimistic", "most likely", and "pessemistic" task durations. You have determined that the critical path is A-D-E.

Anderton Consumer Electronics

Activity

Optimistic Time

A

2 days

B

3 days

6 days

D

E

2 days

8 days

Most Likey Time

6 days

7 days

8 days

4 days

14 days

Pessimistic Time

14 days

11 days

10 days

8 days

20 days

Using PERT analysis - what is the duration of the project based on expected times? (round to one decimal place)

days

What is the project variance?

days (round to the nearest one decimal place)

Your boss at Anderton Consumer Electronics requires that the project be done in 27 days. How likely are you to complete the project within the required duration?

O A. 33%

O B. 75%

O C. 80%

O D. 25%

O E. 67%

Note: Use the simplified probablity table below if needed.

Z

0.67

0.84

1.04

1.28

1.64

Probability

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

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