Question: You work for ABC Ventures and you have been asked to evaluate investing in a startup firm that makes smart road technology to warn cars

You work for ABC Ventures and you have been asked to evaluate investing in a startup firm that makes smart road technology to warn cars of upcoming road hazards. The startup is seeking $5.0 million in venture capital financing. Your analysis reveals that there are three possible scenarios pessimistic, expected, and optimisticrepresenting different profitability, growth, and valuation expectations. Given the riskiness of this young company, assume that you decide the required rate of return is 30 percent. Given the following information and an expected sale of the firm in 5 years, determine whether your fund should invest in the startup:

Pessimistic

Expected

Optimistic

Probability of outcome

25%

45%

30%

Revenue in year 7 ($millions)

9

12

18

Profit margin

5.00%

8.00%

10.00%

Price/earnings ratio at sale

8

20

30

What is the NPV of the investment? (2.2 points)

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