Question: COO would like you to develop and compare exponential smoothing forecasting based on two years data, 2018 - 2019. You were assigned to perform exponential

  1. COO would like you to develop and compare exponential smoothing forecasting based on two years data, 2018 - 2019. You were assigned to perform exponential smoothing and exponential with trend adjustment. Predicted demand for the first quarter of 2018 is 5,000 (F1) million baht and the trend over Q1 of 2018 is 500 (T1) million baht. Smoothing constants are assigned that the value of alpha () is 0.2 and beta () is 0.5. (10 marks)

(When performing the calculation, keep the number rounded with no decimal point)

Exponential Smoothing

Exponential Smoothing with Trend

Forecasting Sales 2018 (Q1)

=

5,000

5,000 + 500

Forecasting Sales 2018 (Q2)

=

Forecasting Sales 2018 (Q3)

=

Forecasting Sales 2018 (Q4)

=

Forecasting Sales 2019 (Q1)

=

Forecasting Sales 2019 (Q2)

=

Forecasting Sales 2019 (Q3)

=

Forecasting Sales 2019 (Q4)

=

Forecasting Sales 2020 (Q1)

=

Unit: Million Baht

2018

2019

Q1

3,361

6,477

Q2

3,945

7,067

Q3

4,383

8,258

Q4

5,192

9,530

Total Sales

16,881

31,332

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